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  • Her Final Wish: A Home for the Son She Never Got to Hold

    Her Final Wish: A Home for the Son She Never Got to Hold


    The house is at the end of the road, nestled behind a playground in Loughrea, an ancient town in County Galway. Built of white stone with gray trim, it has lace curtains, a statue of the Virgin Mary and two small bedrooms, one pink, the other blue.

    In the living room, a small, fragile woman in a plaid skirt sits in an overstuffed orange chair. She is 93 but lives alone, with an overweight mutt named Rex. Day after day, she busies herself with small tasks — praying the rosary, hanging the wash, letting the dog into the yard — while she waits for the return of the son she never got to hold.

    She has been waiting for 76 years.

    As a teenager, Chrissie Tully fell in love with a man in her neighborhood, and in 1949, she became pregnant.

    What happened next would follow a grim, common script in midcentury Ireland, where the Catholic Church and its rigid doctrine dominated nearly every aspect of daily life. Ms. Tully’s family disowned her; the town, Loughrea, spurned her. A priest took her to St. Mary’s Mother and Baby Home, a facility for unwed mothers in Tuam, 30 miles north.

    Such institutions remain one of Ireland’s enduring moral stains. Independent panels have excoriated them, religious institutions have apologized for them, and the Irish government has bumbled through a redress scheme, seeking to financially compensate tens of thousands of Irish mothers and children who were banished to them.

    Particularly notorious was St. Mary’s, an austere, gated structure that was once a military barracks and workhouse. Run by sisters from a French religious order known as Bon Secours, its grim reputation was so well known that locals avoided it and the fatherless children it housed.

    Few spoke of the conditions within: forced labor for young mothers, high infant mortality rates, pervasive shame and emotional abuse. Still, for some like Ms. Tully, there was nowhere else to go.

    On Dec. 13 of the year she arrived, Ms. Tully was rushed to the Galway Central Hospital with labor complications. She delivered a boy, born breech at seven and a half pounds. She wanted to name him Michael, but he was taken away before she had the chance. She never held him or saw his face.

    “It nearly killed me,” she said.

    Soon, the doctor returned.

    “‘Baby’s dead,’” Ms. Tully recalled him saying. “They weren’t very nice about it.”

    She had no way of knowing whether to believe him. The system was awash in shame and secrets. Some babies were adopted out to Catholic families as near as the same town, or as far as America. Others died in infancy and were buried in unmarked graves, disappearing into collective silence that shrouded the facility in Tuam, and others like it.

    Mothers like Ms. Tully often weren’t told where their children had gone, or they were told half-truths. In some cases, mothers were told their babies had died only to find out later they had been illegally adopted, their birth certificates forged.

    In a story with no shortage of cruelty, that is perhaps most searing: the lack of closure, the endless “what if.” For decades, Ms. Tully was left to wonder: Was Michael really born dead? Or was he out there somewhere, wrongfully believing his mother had abandoned him?

    Ms. Tully could not accept that her little boy never made it out of the hospital, that his story began and ended in 1949. Perhaps it was irrational.

    But a few years ago, she got a new reason to hope.

    After losing Michael, Ms. Tully left the Tuam home and returned to her prior life. She also resumed her relationship with her partner, and four years later, she became pregnant again. But the father — who Ms. Tully said was “not the marrying type” — left her and moved to the United Kingdom. For the rest of her life, she has carried a torch. She never married.

    With no alternative, she returned to the Tuam home. She gave birth to a second boy in 1954, naming him Christopher.

    Trekking daily to the children’s ward at the home to feed and bathe him, Ms. Tully had a deep conviction: She had lost Michael, but she would not lose Christopher. She would find a job, take him from the Tuam home and build a life — mother and son, together, in Loughrea.

    But Ms. Tully arrived one day to the boy’s bed and faced a “squinty-eyed” nun, who picked up the child and walked away, telling Ms. Tully she would never see him again.

    Left with nothing — she and her family never fully reconciled — Ms. Tully stayed in Galway, working odd jobs in a cafe and later as a live-in housekeeper for a group of priests. She searched for her sons, but was stymied by byzantine adoption bureaucracies, much of them designed to keep those like Ms. Tully from answers.

    Over time, Ms. Tully realized she might never live to find her lost children. She settled for leaving a letter with a confidante in Portumna, a Galway town on the Tipperary border, meant for her boys if they ever surfaced. In it, she had tucked 3,000 Irish pounds and an explanation for their separation, revealing that she had never given either of the children up, willingly.

    Then, in 2013, a professional-looking woman arrived at Ms. Tully’s Loughrea home, and asked if she could come in for a cup of tea. Slowly, the stranger revealed her purpose: She was from an adoption agency that had been approached by a man from London in his 60s who was searching for his birth mother.

    The man had no idea, but he was the boy Ms. Tully had named Christopher.

    He was eager to reconnect, the woman said, but the decision would be up to Ms. Tully: Did she want to meet her second son, now known as Patrick Naughton?

    “I loved it,” Ms. Tully said, of the revelation. “He’s all I have.”

    On a summer day that year, Ms. Tully arrived at a small hotel outside Galway city. Mr. Naughton flew in from London, stopping at a supermarket on his way to pick up a bouquet of flowers. When he walked in, the small woman before him was so overwhelmed she could hardly meet his eye.

    “Chrissie,” he recalled saying. “I’m not that bad lookin’, am I?”

    Since childhood, Mr. Naughton, 70, had known that he was adopted, but he had never felt compelled to find his birth mother. He had spent his early childhood in Galway until his family moved to London.

    “My adoptive parents were so loving,” he said. “I thought if I ever looked, I would be going behind their back.”

    After they died, however, Mr. Naughton felt tormented by questions about his origins. Who were his birth parents? Did they have other children? Had his parents kept them, and if so, why not him?

    He had searched for more than a year, and had mostly given up when he got a call from the adoption agency in Galway. “We found your mother,” they told him.

    “I’ve come home every year since the day I found her,” said Mr. Naughton, who still lives in London with his wife, along with three adult children and a gaggle of grandkids.

    It was a few years before Ms. Tully confided in Mr. Naughton that he might have a brother. When he heard, he was “over the moon,” he said — he had been raised an only child and couldn’t believe he might have a sibling.

    In the years since, Mr. Naughton and Ms. Tully have pored over birth and death records, scoured graveyards and hospital paperwork. Through Ireland’s Freedom of Information Act, they finally obtained the other child’s birth record, apparently written in the hospital in Galway in 1949.

    “Stillborn,” it said. Under Ms. Tully’s name: “Return to Tuam.”

    It was the first official indication Ms. Tully had seen that Michael was indeed dead. It wasn’t clear whether “Return to Tuam” referred only to Ms. Tully, or included Michael, but the possibility that the baby’s remains had been sent there carried a grim weight of its own. In 2017, a mass, unmarked grave was discovered in a septic tank at St. Mary’s, which shut down in 1961. Within it were the bodies of at least 796 children.

    Could Michael have been one of them?

    For Ms. Tully, it seems impossible to know for sure what happened to the boy. She has still seen no clear record of his burial. And to Mr. Naughton, it’s implausible that a baby’s body would have been taken from the hospital in Galway to Tuam, 30 miles away, to be buried in a pit.

    “I don’t know what to believe anymore,” Mr. Naughton said. “He has to be somewhere.”

    So Ms. Tully has waited in her modest home, which she has rented at a subsidized rate from the Galway County Council for 20 years. As she nears 100, she and Mr. Naughton worry that Michael will return — however unlikely that may seem — to a house occupied by somebody else.

    “I’d hate Chrissie to die, hoping that Michael will come back,” said Mr. Naughton, holding back tears. “And there won’t be nothing here.”

    Hoping to keep the house in the family, he contacted Galway County Council to explore buying the home in Ms. Tully’s name. The house is valued around 110,000 euros, but according to Mr. Naughton, the Council said because of her time spent renting the home, Ms. Tully could purchase it for €50,000.

    Still, because of their respective ages, Ms. Tully and Mr. Naughton have both been denied a mortgage. They have tried to raise the money on their own via an online fund-raiser. But the effort has fallen short, in part because they have struggled to navigate the online process.

    On Ms. Tully’s mantle now is a collection of framed photographs, evidence of the last decade’s discoveries: in one, a beaming Patrick with his uniformed son; in another, great-grandchildren.

    One photo sits off to the side. It is a recent image of Ms. Tully, bundled against the Galway rain, walking through an iron gate at the Tuam home. She stares at the camera, in front of a memorial that was installed for the babies found in the septic tank.

    “We went to see if we could get Michael’s grave,” Ms. Tully said, looking over the photograph. “We couldn’t find nothing.”

    At night, when Mr. Naughton sleeps in the pink bedroom, he hears murmurs from down the hall. It is Ms. Tully, praying the rosary for Michael, as she does every night. Not long ago, she called Mr. Naughton early in the morning, with news of a vision she’d had.

    “I had a dream, and I seen him. And he is alive,” Ms. Tully said, at the time. “And nobody will tell me anything different now.”



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  • Maps: 7.4-Magnitude Earthquake Near Chile Prompts Tsunami Alert

    Maps: 7.4-Magnitude Earthquake Near Chile Prompts Tsunami Alert


    Note: Map shows the area with a shake intensity of 4 or greater, which U.S.G.S. defines as “light,” though the earthquake may be felt outside the areas shown. Source: U.S.G.S. By William B. Davis and John Keefe

    A major, 7.4-magnitude earthquake struck in the South Atlantic Ocean on Friday, prompting an alert for a potential tsunami along parts of the Chilean coast, according to monitoring agencies in the United States.

    The temblor happened at 8:58 a.m. Eastern about 136 miles south of Ushuaia, Argentina, in the Drake Passage, according to the United States Geological Survey.

    “We are calling for the evacuation of the entire coastline of the Magallanes region. At this time, our duty is to take precautions and follow the instructions of the authorities,” President Gabriel Boric of Chile said on social media shortly after the earthquake.

    Chilean officials later cancelled the evacuation order, but asked people to stay clear of beaches and boardwalks as a precaution. Schools in the region were closed for the day.

    The U.S. Tsunami Warning System had issued a “tsunami threat” alert when the earthquake occured, but cancelled it shortly after noon. The agency noted that a small wave of about half a foot had been recorded by a sensor on the coast of Antarctica.

    U.S.G.S. data earlier reported that the earthquake’s magnitude was 7.5.

    As seismologists review available data, they may revise the earthquake’s reported magnitude. Additional information collected about the earthquake may also prompt U.S.G.S. scientists to update the shake-severity map.

    Aftershocks in the region

    An aftershock is usually a smaller earthquake that follows a larger one in the same general area. Aftershocks are typically minor adjustments along the portion of a fault that slipped at the time of the initial earthquake.

    Quakes and aftershocks within 100 miles

    Aftershocks can occur days, weeks or even years after the first earthquake. These events can be of equal or larger magnitude to the initial earthquake, and they can continue to affect already damaged locations.

    When quakes and aftershocks occurred

    Source: United States Geological Survey | Notes: Shaking categories are based on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale. When aftershock data is available, the corresponding maps and charts include earthquakes within 100 miles and seven days of the initial quake. All times above are Eastern. Shake data is as of Friday, May 2 at 9:16 a.m. Eastern. Aftershocks data is as of Friday, May 2 at 5:28 p.m. Eastern.

    Maps: Daylight (urban areas); MapLibre (map rendering); Natural Earth (roads, labels, terrain); Protomaps (map tiles)



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  • Man Accused of Hacking Climate Groups Can Be Sent to U.S., Judge Says

    Man Accused of Hacking Climate Groups Can Be Sent to U.S., Judge Says


    An English court on Wednesday approved the extradition of an Israeli man charged by New York prosecutors with running a “hacking-for-hire” operation that targeted environmental groups.

    Prosecutors say that companies run by the man, Amit Forlit, 57, earned at least $16 million by hacking more than 100 victims and stealing confidential information on behalf of a lobbying firm working for a major oil company.

    Lawyers for Mr. Forlit identified the company as ExxonMobil in a January court filing. Exxon has been sued by Democratic attorneys general and other local officials over its role in climate change. The lawsuits claim the company covered up what it knew about climate change for decades to continue selling oil. The lobbying firm was identified in the filing as DCI Group.

    An Exxon statement said the company had not been involved in and was not aware of any hacking. “If there was any hacking involved, we condemn it in the strongest possible terms,” the statement said.

    A spokesman for DCI, Craig Stevens, said the firm instructs employees and consultants to comply with the law and that no one at DCI had directed or was involved “in any hacking alleged to have occurred a decade ago.”

    DCI also said that “radical anti-oil activists and their billionaire donors, many of whom still sleep on beds paid for by their family’s fossil-energy legacy trust funds, peddle conspiracy theories” about the firm.

    That was an apparent reference to the role of the Rockefeller family in supporting organizations advocating for climate-change litigation. Heirs of John D. Rockefeller, who made his fortune in oil more than a century ago, today lead a foundation, the Rockefeller Family Fund, that plays a key role in the movement to sue oil companies over climate change. Lee Wasserman, its director, has said he was targeted by the hacking campaign.

    Mr. Forlit was arrested in London last year following a grand jury indictment in New York on charges of wire fraud, conspiracy to commit wire fraud and conspiracy to commit computer hacking, which could carry a lengthy sentence. His lawyers had argued that he should not be extradited because he would not receive a fair trial in the United States because of the political firestorm over climate change litigation.

    They argued that “one of the reasons underpinning the prosecution is to advance the politically motivated cause of pursuing ExxonMobil, with Mr. Forlit a form of collateral damage.”

    His lawyers also argued that Mr. Forlit would be in danger at the Metropolitan Detention Center, the only federal jail in New York, which has been plagued by violence and dysfunction. High-profile defendants recently held there have included Luigi Mangione, Sam Bankman-Fried and Sean Combs, also known as Puff Daddy and Diddy.

    The Westminster Magistrates’ Court rejected those concerns. Mr. Forlit can appeal the decision. His lawyers did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

    One of the groups targeted was the Union of Concerned Scientists, which has long researched the fossil fuel industry’s role in what it calls climate science disinformation. The group also does source-attribution science, the practice of using data to estimate the contributions made by specific corporations to the effects of global warming, like sea level rise or wildfires. Its work has been cited in lawsuits against the oil industry.

    The organization learned of the hacking from a 2020 report by Citizen Lab, a cybersecurity watchdog group at the University of Toronto, according to Kathy Mulvey of the Union of Concerned Scientists. The report found that hackers had targeted American nonprofit groups working on a campaign called #ExxonKnew, which argued that the company had hidden information about climate change.

    Numerous Union of Concerned Scientists employees received suspicious emails in which hackers tried to trick them into giving up passwords or installing malicious software. Prosecutors with the U.S. attorney’s office for the Southern District of New York began an investigation.

    One associate of Mr. Forlit, Aviram Azari, pleaded guilty in New York in 2023 to crimes including computer intrusion, wire fraud and identity theft and was sentenced to six years in prison.

    Mr. Forlit ran three security and intelligence-gathering firms, two registered in Israel and one in the United States, that hired people to hack into email accounts and devices, the filing said. His clients included a Washington lobbying firm working on behalf of “one of the world’s largest oil and gas corporations, centered in Irving, Texas, in relation to ongoing climate change litigation being brought against it.” Exxon was previously headquartered in Irving.

    The lobbying firm identified targets to Mr. Forlit, then he or another person gave a list to Mr. Azari, who owned another Israel-based firm and hired people in India to illegally access the accounts, the filing said. Those details were used to obtain documents that were given to the oil company and the media “to undermine the integrity of the civil investigations,” the filing said.



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  • Scenes From the Blackouts in Spain and Portugal

    Scenes From the Blackouts in Spain and Portugal


    Tens of millions of people on the Iberian Peninsula had their Mondays upended by power outages that lasted hours.

    Across Spain and Portugal, hospitals ran on generators, trains were halted and supermarkets were shuttered. By Monday evening, some power was restored in parts of Spain, but many residents were still waiting for their lights to turn back on. The authorities raced to find and repair the issue while there was still daylight.

    Here is a look at some of the damage:



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  • Mourners Bid Solemn Farewell to Pope Francis

    Mourners Bid Solemn Farewell to Pope Francis


    Some mourners had spent the night sleeping in the streets near the Vatican, and they started lining up at dawn on Saturday in St. Peter’s Square to bid farewell to Pope Francis. Hours later, world leaders took their seats in rows near an altar set up in front of St. Peter’s Basilica.

    The scene was appropriate for the funeral of a head of state, with red-robed cardinals, royalty and dignitaries attending the open-air Mass. But for a pope who had spent over a decade defending people at the margins of society, many had also come to pay their respects to someone who occupied a deeply personal space in their lives.

    “More than a pope, he was a fatherly figure for us migrants,” said Virginia Munos Ramires, 30, an El Salvador native, as she held onto a railing in St. Peter’s Square under the beating sun. “He represented Latinos, immigrants — he was a reference for all of us.”

    Some of the mourners wore suits, others the blue and white soccer jerseys of Francis’ native Argentina. Still others were dressed in traditional Polish garments or colorful cloths from the Democratic Republic of Congo.

    Many broke into loud applause when Cardinal Giovanni Battista Re, who was officiating the Mass, recalled in his homily that the pope’s first trip had been to Lampedusa, a southern Italian island that has become emblematic of large numbers of migrants arriving in Europe over the past decade.

    Pope Francis was “giving himself without measure, especially to the marginalized,” Cardinal Re said, as he stood within sight of a giant statue of St. Peter, the Roman Catholic Church’s first pope.

    With gulls crying out overhead and helicopters roaring higher in the sky, the crowd was largely silent as readings in Latin, Italian and other languages resounded in the square.

    For all of its pomp and ceremony, the experience for the crowd also had something of the feel of a stadium concert. The Mass took place on a stage so distant that the figures appeared tiny. What made it feel close were giant screens and a speaker system that resonated around the piazza.

    At one moment, the cameras focused on a tiny detail from the pope’s coffin, making the solemnity of the occasion feel all too real. At another, they showed President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine as he walked to his seat, prompting a bout of applause from the crowd.

    But no one who was present needed a video display to be captivated by the grandeur of the surroundings. The piazza, arrayed around the Vatican obelisk, is bounded by enormous colonnades topped with sculptures that stand in silhouette against the sky.

    Among the mourners were Catholics from places that Francis had made a point of reaching out to. Many, like the retired owner of a grocery story in the northern Italian city of Genoa, said they felt that Francis was a “normal person,” like them. “The world you loved is here today to say thank you,” one banner read.

    Francesca Butros, a nun from Egypt, had run into the piazza to secure a spot. She had prayed that Pope Francis, who suffered from knee ailments, would relieve her legs from pain and allow her to make it to St. Peter’s in time for the funeral. She did, although another nun twisted her ankle in the subway, she said.

    Epiphana Lubangula, 53, a Tanzania native who works as a nurse in Italy, said, “We are here from the West to the East.” She said she hoped that “the powerful who are here today will treasure Francis’ message.”

    A priest from Myanmar, the Rev. Caesar Htoo Ko Ko, said that since the pope’s 2017 visit to the country, people there finally “have an image of what a Catholic is.”

    Thousands who didn’t get to St. Peter’s Square for the funeral lined the streets in central Rome on Saturday.Credit…Piero Cruciatti/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

    And while the media’s attention turned to a meeting between Mr. Zelensky and President Trump in the basilica before the funeral, many of the mourners were mostly focused on saying goodbye to the pope.

    “He was like family,” said Colette Sandjon, 68, a Cameroon native who had traveled from Paris and spent the night standing in a Vatican City side street to secure a spot at the pope’s funeral.

    “When he spoke to me, it’s as if he was speaking to the whole of Africa,” she added, her eyes reddened by the sleepless night.

    Toward the end of the ceremony, it was approaching midday, and the spring heat was taking a toll on those who had been standing since before dawn. Hundreds sat down for the homily, while others tried to fan themselves with the funeral program booklet.

    With the pope being laid to rest, many Catholics were also starting to look ahead. Some wondered who would defend the voiceless now that their loudest champion was gone. Others said they hoped that Francis’ era of emphasizing charity and pastoral work over church doctrine was over.

    The Rev. Joseph Jaros, of the Czech Republic, said he agreed with Francis that the church needed to change, but, echoing of a criticism often heard among conservatives, he said that it should be in keeping with tradition. “The world is changing a lot, but the church should not change too much,” he said.

    Ms. Munos Ramires, the migrant from El Salvador, said she was more concerned about the pope’s message. “As migrants we are worried,” she said. “We hope we’ll get another advocate.”

    After the Mass ended, the cardinals descended the basilica’s staircase in a red cascade and the crowd trickled out. The piazza outside the basilica was cleared. An eerie silence remained.

    Jason Horowitz contributed reporting.



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  • Crisis Deepens for India and Pakistan Over Kashmir Attack

    Crisis Deepens for India and Pakistan Over Kashmir Attack


    Tensions between India and Pakistan escalated sharply on Thursday, as the Pakistani government said it would consider it “an act of war” if India followed through on a threat to block the flow of crucial rivers as punishment for a deadly militant attack in Kashmir.

    After a high-level meeting of Pakistan’s National Security Committee, the government announced a series of sweeping retaliatory measures, including the closing of its airspace to Indian carriers, a reduction of India’s diplomatic staff in Islamabad and a suspension of all trade with India.

    The Indian government has not officially identified any group as being behind the attack on Tuesday in a scenic tourist area of Indian-administered Kashmir. But it announced a flurry of punitive measures against Pakistan on Wednesday, including the suspension of an important water treaty, in response to what it said was Pakistan’s support of terrorist attacks inside India.

    On Thursday, Pakistan’s top civilian and military leadership called India’s actions — which included the revocation of visas for Pakistanis and a downgrading of diplomatic ties — “unilateral, politically motivated and legally void.” Pakistan has denied any involvement in Tuesday’s attack.

    The Pakistani government reserved its strongest words for India’s actions on the water treaty, saying it would respond decisively if the rivers were blocked or diverted. Pakistan relies on water from the Indus river system, which flows through India, for about 90 percent of its agriculture.

    The treaty, brokered by the World Bank in 1960, had long been seen as a rare pillar of stability in South Asia, a framework that endured even through full-scale wars. Its unraveling now marks a rupture with huge symbolic and strategic weight.

    Before the security committee meeting on Thursday, the Pakistani government had struck a measured tone after militants killed more than two dozen Indian civilians in Kashmir, insisting that it had no interest in seeing tensions with India escalate.

    But across Pakistan, people are watching with growing concern as Indian officials hint at the possibility of military strikes, and the television airwaves have been filled with defense analysts warning of unpredictable consequences if hostilities between the nuclear-armed neighbors intensify.

    Najm us Saqib, a former Pakistani diplomat, said the fallout from the militant attack could be lasting.

    “The coming weeks and months are likely to witness heightened tensions that might culminate in destabilizing an already fragile and susceptible region,” he said.

    The assault in Kashmir, a region both countries claim and have fought wars over, set off a familiar pattern.

    The Indian news media, which is largely aligned with the government of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, quickly pointed a finger at Pakistan. Pakistan accused India of trying to deflect attention from security lapses in the restive region.

    Western intelligence officials have said that Pakistani security services allow anti-India militants to operate in Pakistan. India says those militants have crossed into Indian territory to carry out attacks.

    Pakistan has pointed a finger at India, too, long accusing it of supporting a separatist insurgency in Baluchistan, a southwestern province. In recent months, attacks have spread across the province, including the deadly hijacking of a passenger train last month. Pakistan has also accused India of playing a role in militant attacks in the country’s northwest.

    The last major militant assault in the Indian part of Kashmir took place in 2019, when dozens of Indian security personnel were killed. After that attack, India launched an air battle that stopped just short of all-out war.

    Some Pakistani analysts warn that the current confrontation could intensify beyond the 2019 standoff. “Indian escalation already began last night, and it will be at a bigger scale than February 2019,” Syed Muhammad Ali, a security analyst in Islamabad, said on Wednesday.

    He claimed that India was using the attack to seek solidarity with the United States and defuse tensions over President Trump’s threat of tariffs, as well as to reframe the push for independence in Kashmir as a terrorist movement.

    As of Wednesday, Pakistani officials said they had seen no evidence of an Indian military mobilization. They said that the Pakistani military remained alert along the Line of Control separating the Indian- and Pakistani-administered parts of Kashmir.

    A senior Pakistani security official, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive diplomatic and military matters, said that Pakistan would approach any tit-for-tat escalation carefully but would thwart incursions by India if they occurred.

    Some military analysts and current and former officials accused India of staging the attack, noting that it had come while Vice President JD Vance was visiting India.

    “They’re blaming Pakistan without proof,” Ahmed Saeed Minhas, a retired brigadier general, said on the television channel Geo News.

    He then made a joke about the 2019 standoff between Pakistan and India, when a video emerged of an Indian Air Force pilot, Wing Commander Abhinandan Varthaman, sipping tea while in Pakistani custody.

    “If India tries anything again, they should remember — we served tea to Abhinandan in 2019,” Mr. Minhas said. “This time, we might even offer him biscuits.”

    The current tensions have revived memories of the 2019 episode.

    A suicide bombing that February in the city of Pulwama prompted an Indian airstrike inside Pakistan, triggering a dogfight. An Indian jet was shot down, and Wing Commander Varthaman was captured and later released — a gesture that helped cool tensions, if briefly.

    Officials say the current situation differs from 2019. While the Pulwama attack was claimed by the militant Islamist group Jaish-e-Mohammed and targeted security personnel, the one on Tuesday involved unarmed civilians, and any claims of responsibility have been vague and unverified.

    So far, the Pakistani military has made no public statement about Tuesday’s attack. The Foreign Ministry on Wednesday condemned the loss of life, denied any role by Pakistan and urged India to avoid “premature and irresponsible allegations.”

    Officials and analysts warn that while the region avoided catastrophe in 2019, that good fortune may not repeat itself.

    “During the last escalation, both India and Pakistan were lucky to step down from the ladder,” said Murtaza Solangi, a former interim information minister.

    “This time, we’re in a more dangerous phase,” he said. “A fractured global order and India’s hyperventilating media make it harder for Modi to act rationally. Both countries will be net losers if India doesn’t stop this madness.”

    Asfandyar Mir, a Washington-based security expert, warned that the absence of diplomatic back channels had made the situation more dangerous.

    “Crises in South Asia have historically been defused through discreet communication,” he said. “That infrastructure is now missing. And that increases the risk of a miscalculation.”



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